Sfakianakis: ‘The great giant of the emerging markets has finally awakened’

Saudi Arabia’s stability in contrast to many of its neighbors in the Middle East region is a cause for optimism for the Kingdom’s economy and future, writes John Sfakianakis in the Financial Times’ Beyond Brics blog. Noting that those who argue that the Kingdom is the next destination for turmoil have “been thinking that for close to a century,” Sfakianakis writes that the Gulf Countries have been riding a wave of vast wealth “which affords the Gulf countries a level of resilience that few in the emerging markets can match.”

Sfakianakis:

Many outsiders have an image of a country frozen in time. The great giant of the emerging markets has finally awakened. Saudi Arabia’s recent announcement of the partial opening its $550bn stock-market to foreign institutional investors by the first half of 2015 is a key emerging market play over the next few years. Strong growth in domestic demand, firm macroeconomic fundamentals and ongoing economic reforms would allow for growth of the middle class. According to the OECD, the total middle class population is forecast to grow from less than 20m today to 40m by 2050. With reserves at around 90 per cent of the country’s $750bn GDP and public debt that is less than 3 per cent of its economic size, Saudi Arabia is well placed to weather regional political turmoil and a prolonged correction in oil prices.

Although each Gulf country has its economic and political challenges, Sfakianakis writes, “their prospects are far better than many other emerging markets over the medium term.”

John Sfakianakis, a regular contributor to SUSTG, is chief of investments at Riyadh-based MASIC.

Earlier this week, Jadwa Investment released a report on Saudi Arabian government spending and revenues for this year, finding that the Kingdom will be raking in almost SR315 billion more than they previously expected – a record surplus.

Arab News, quoting an unnamed economist, said that this year would be another record-breaker, marking the highest annual revenue on the backs of strong oil prices and high export levels.





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